Proposal

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BoC Easing Cycle: 2.25%

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-332026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
boc_overnight_rate
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 33)

Domain: monetary_policy

Effects: 31 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 18

Divergence score: 220.4533

Constitutional basis: Bank of Canada Act, monetary policy independence

Details

Epoch: 33

Domain: monetary_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $251.45B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$237.55B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$247.50B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via boc_overnight_rate
  • −$6.26B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via federal_debt
  • −$5.23B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via healthcare_system_capacity
  • −$2.41B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via federal_debt

Causal effects: 31 downstream (18 immediate)

Divergence after: 220.453

Variable changes

  • boc_overnight_rate: {"new": 2.25, "old": 3.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets boc_overnight_rate.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:boc_overnight_rate