Proposal

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Federal Mental Health Transfer: $8B

AI TrackEnactedHealthcarecontinuum-epoch-392026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
mental_health_spending_federal
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 39)

Domain: healthcare

Effects: 4 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 301.1014

Constitutional basis: Federal spending power, bilateral mental health agreements

Fiscal cost estimate: 3

Details

Epoch: 39

Domain: healthcare

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $3.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$0.15B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$0.15B → social_services_spending (Social Services Spending) via disability_claims_rate

Causal effects: 4 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 301.101

Variable changes

  • mental_health_spending_federal: {"new": 8.0, "old": 5.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets mental_health_spending_federal.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:mental_health_spending_federal