Proposal

← AI Proposals

🤖

Interprovincial Trade Barrier Reduction

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-452026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
trade_barrier_cost_index
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 45)

Domain: governance

Effects: 5 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 2

Divergence score: 310.3096

Constitutional basis: CFTA (Canadian Free Trade Agreement), s.121 free trade clause

Fiscal cost estimate: 0.5

Details

Epoch: 45

Domain: governance

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$62.03B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$106.92B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via trade_barrier_gdp_cost
  • −$48.60B → trade_barrier_gdp_cost (GDP Cost of Trade Barriers) via trade_barrier_cost_index
  • +$2.13B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via business_investment
  • +$0.96B → education_spending (Education Spending) via business_investment

Causal effects: 5 downstream (2 immediate)

Divergence after: 310.310

Variable changes

  • trade_barrier_cost_index: {"new": 40.0, "old": 100.0}
  • product_standards_harmonization: {"new": 85.0, "old": 60.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets trade_barrier_cost_index.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:trade_barrier_cost_index
  • RIPPLE:product_standards_harmonization