Proposal

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Hospital System Expansion: $120B

AI TrackEnactedHealthcarecontinuum-epoch-452026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
hospital_spending
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 45)

Domain: healthcare

Effects: 1 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 310.4121

Constitutional basis: Provincial healthcare (s.92), hospital funding via CHT conditions

Fiscal cost estimate: 16

Details

Epoch: 45

Domain: healthcare

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $16.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$25.86B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$17.17B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via hospital_spending
  • +$7.62B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via healthcare_spending
  • +$1.44B → hospital_spending (Hospital Services Spending) via healthcare_spending
  • −$0.55B → preventable_chronic_disease_cost (Annual Cost of Preventable Chronic Disease) via healthcare_spending

Causal effects: 1 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 310.412

Variable changes

  • hospital_spending: {"new": 120.0, "old": 104.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets hospital_spending.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:hospital_spending