Proposal

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Immigration Rate Increase: 2.0%

AI TrackEnactedImmigrationcontinuum-epoch-452026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
immigration_rate
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 45)

Domain: immigration

Effects: 1 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 310.4297

Constitutional basis: Federal immigration (s.91(25)), Immigration and Refugee Protection Act

Fiscal cost estimate: 0.5

Details

Epoch: 45

Domain: immigration

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$137.94B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$86.80B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via immigration_rate
  • +$38.50B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via healthcare_spending
  • +$7.28B → hospital_spending (Hospital Services Spending) via healthcare_spending
  • +$4.48B → education_spending (Education Spending) via child_population

Causal effects: 1 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 310.430

Variable changes

  • immigration_rate: {"new": 2.0, "old": 1.5}

Proposed policy move

Targets immigration_rate.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:immigration_rate