Proposal

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Alberta Budget Modernization

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-512026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
alberta_health
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 51)

Domain: provincial_fiscal

Effects: 10 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 10

Divergence score: 353.2145

Constitutional basis: Provincial jurisdiction (s.92), Alberta Fiscal Planning and Transparency Act

Details

Epoch: 51

Domain: provincial_fiscal

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $70.91B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$68.72B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$33.07B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via alberta_health
  • +$19.60B → education_spending (Education Spending) via alberta_education
  • +$15.40B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via education_spending
  • +$2.77B → hospital_spending (Hospital Services Spending) via healthcare_spending

Causal effects: 10 downstream (10 immediate)

Divergence after: 353.214

Variable changes

  • alberta_health: {"new": 29.0, "old": 26.1}
  • alberta_education: {"new": 11.0, "old": 9.6}
  • alberta_other_tax_revenue: {"new": 9.5, "old": 8.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets alberta_health.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:alberta_health
  • RIPPLE:alberta_education
  • RIPPLE:alberta_other_tax_revenue