Proposal

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Alberta Revenue Diversification

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-512026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
alberta_other_revenue
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 51)

Domain: provincial_fiscal

Effects: 12 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 12

Divergence score: 649.0032

Constitutional basis: Alberta Heritage Savings Trust Fund Act, federal transfer formula

Details

Epoch: 51

Domain: provincial_fiscal

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $13.69B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$13.69B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$6.21B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via federal_spending
  • +$3.77B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via federal_spending
  • +$2.31B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via tax_revenue
  • +$1.04B → education_spending (Education Spending) via tax_revenue

Causal effects: 12 downstream (12 immediate)

Divergence after: 649.003

Variable changes

  • alberta_other_revenue: {"new": 2.5, "old": 1.7}
  • alberta_premiums_fees: {"new": 3.8, "old": 3.1}
  • alberta_federal_transfers: {"new": 13.0, "old": 11.2}
  • alberta_investment_income: {"new": 6.5, "old": 4.8}

Proposed policy move

Targets alberta_other_revenue.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:alberta_other_revenue
  • RIPPLE:alberta_premiums_fees
  • RIPPLE:alberta_federal_transfers
  • RIPPLE:alberta_investment_income