Proposal
🤖
Alberta Natural Resource Revenue Shift
AI TrackEnactedEnergycontinuum-epoch-512026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
alberta_natural_gas_royalties
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0
Rationale
Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 51)
Domain: energy
Effects: 8 downstream variables affected
Immediate effects: 8
Divergence score: 1508.2707
Constitutional basis: Provincial resource jurisdiction (s.92A), Alberta Mines and Minerals Act
Details
Epoch: 51
Domain: energy
Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $42.60B CAD
Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$41.56B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)
Top RIPPLE cost paths
- +$19.64B →
education_spending(Education Spending) viagdp_growth_rate - +$17.14B →
consumer_spending(Consumer Spending Growth) viagdp_growth_rate - +$4.83B →
healthcare_spending(Healthcare Spending) viagdp_growth_rate - −$1.04B →
federal_budget_balance(Federal Budget Balance) viagdp_growth_rate
Causal effects: 8 downstream (8 immediate)
Divergence after: 1508.271
Variable changes
alberta_natural_gas_royalties: {"new": 3.5, "old": 1.8}alberta_other_mineral_revenue: {"new": 6.0, "old": 4.6}
Proposed policy move
Targets alberta_natural_gas_royalties.
Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.
Data sources
- RIPPLE:alberta_natural_gas_royalties
- RIPPLE:alberta_other_mineral_revenue