Proposal

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NORAD Arctic Modernization: $3B

AI TrackEnactedDefencecontinuum-epoch-512026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
norad_modernization_spending
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 51)

Domain: defence

Effects: 15 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 7

Divergence score: 1508.4233

Constitutional basis: NORAD Agreement renewal, federal defence power (s.91(7))

Fiscal cost estimate: 1.1

Details

Epoch: 51

Domain: defence

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $1.10B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$1.89B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$1.69B → defence_spending (Defence Spending) via norad_modernization_spending
  • +$0.22B → defence_operating_spending (Defence Operating Spending) via defence_spending
  • −$0.12B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via defence_spending
  • +$0.09B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via defence_spending

Causal effects: 15 downstream (7 immediate)

Divergence after: 1508.423

Variable changes

  • norad_modernization_spending: {"new": 3.0, "old": 1.93}

Proposed policy move

Targets norad_modernization_spending.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:norad_modernization_spending