Proposal

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Youth Opportunity: Employment + Child Poverty

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-692026-02-27
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
child_poverty_rate
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 69)

Domain: social_policy

Effects: 0 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 109.0464

Constitutional basis: Canada Child Benefit (federal spending power), provincial child welfare

Fiscal cost estimate: 2

Details

Epoch: 69

Domain: social_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $2.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$25.39B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$39.61B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via education_quality
  • −$10.30B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via preventable_chronic_disease_cost
  • −$4.19B → preventable_chronic_disease_cost (Annual Cost of Preventable Chronic Disease) via child_poverty_rate
  • +$0.84B → education_spending (Education Spending) via education_quality

Divergence after: 109.046

Variable changes

  • child_poverty_rate: {"new": 6.5, "old": 9.39}
  • youth_unemployment: {"new": 8.5, "old": 10.8}
  • child_development_score: {"new": 95.0, "old": 90.76}

Proposed policy move

Targets child_poverty_rate.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:child_poverty_rate
  • RIPPLE:youth_unemployment
  • RIPPLE:child_development_score