Proposal

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Child Welfare Reform: Kinship Care + Foster System

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-712026-02-27
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
infant_mortality
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 71)

Domain: social_policy

Effects: 0 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 109.1875

Constitutional basis: Provincial child welfare jurisdiction (s.92(7)), federal transfers, Jordan's Principle

Fiscal cost estimate: 1.5

Details

Epoch: 71

Domain: social_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $1.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$0.37B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$0.37B → social_services_spending (Social Services Spending) via disability_claims_rate

Divergence after: 109.188

Variable changes

  • infant_mortality: {"new": 3.5, "old": 4.04}
  • disability_claims_rate: {"new": 20.0, "old": 23.44}

Proposed policy move

Targets infant_mortality.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:infant_mortality
  • RIPPLE:disability_claims_rate