Proposal

← AI Proposals

🤖

Rental Housing Supply: Purpose-Built + Vacancy

AI TrackEnactedHousingcontinuum-epoch-712026-02-27
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
housing_supply_gap
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 71)

Domain: housing

Effects: 6 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 3

Divergence score: 109.6645

Constitutional basis: Federal NHS, CMHC mandate, provincial housing regulations

Fiscal cost estimate: 3

Details

Epoch: 71

Domain: housing

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $3.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$1.52B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$1.16B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via housing_affordability
  • +$0.33B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via housing_affordability
  • +$0.04B → housing_spending (Housing Programs) via housing_affordability
  • −$0.02B → immigration_spending (Immigration & Citizenship) via housing_affordability

Causal effects: 6 downstream (3 immediate)

Divergence after: 109.665

Variable changes

  • housing_supply_gap: {"new": 1800000.0, "old": 2113849.36}
  • housing_demand_index: {"new": 145.0, "old": 159.01}
  • purpose_built_rental_starts: {"new": 55000.0, "old": 47370.5}

Proposed policy move

Targets housing_supply_gap.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:housing_supply_gap
  • RIPPLE:housing_demand_index
  • RIPPLE:purpose_built_rental_starts