Proposal

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Defence Modernization: Procurement + Arctic Sovereignty

AI TrackEnactedDefencecontinuum-epoch-712026-02-27
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
arctic_sovereignty_index
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 71)

Domain: defence

Effects: 2 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 1

Divergence score: 109.7204

Constitutional basis: Federal s.91(7) militia/defence, NORAD Agreement, Arctic sovereignty doctrine

Fiscal cost estimate: 4

Details

Epoch: 71

Domain: defence

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $4.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$11.15B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$8.94B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via defense_industrial_benefit
  • +$1.64B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via defense_spending
  • +$0.74B → education_spending (Education Spending) via defense_spending
  • −$0.18B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via defense_spending

Causal effects: 2 downstream (1 immediate)

Divergence after: 109.720

Variable changes

  • arctic_sovereignty_index: {"new": 55.0, "old": 45.31}
  • defense_industrial_benefit: {"new": 18.0, "old": 14.75}
  • defence_procurement_backlog: {"new": 55.0, "old": 66.36}

Proposed policy move

Targets arctic_sovereignty_index.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:arctic_sovereignty_index
  • RIPPLE:defense_industrial_benefit
  • RIPPLE:defence_procurement_backlog