Proposal

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Canadian Submarine Sovereignty Program

AI TrackEnactedDefencecontinuum-epoch-952026-03-09
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
nato_target_gap
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 95)

Domain: defence

Effects: 1 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 0.22

Constitutional basis: Federal jurisdiction over military and naval service (s. 91(7)); Arctic sovereignty (UNCLOS Article 76/77)

Fiscal cost estimate: 1.8

Details

Epoch: 95

Domain: defence

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $1.80B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$82.54B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$56.70B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via public_trust_index
  • +$15.98B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via public_trust_index
  • +$7.22B → education_spending (Education Spending) via public_trust_index
  • +$2.18B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via public_trust_index

Causal effects: 1 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.220

Variable changes

  • nato_target_gap: {"new": 112.35, "old": 114.15}
  • defence_spending: {"new": 46.8, "old": 45.0}
  • submarine_fleet_readiness: {"new": 85.0, "old": 22.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets nato_target_gap.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:nato_target_gap
  • RIPPLE:defence_spending
  • RIPPLE:submarine_fleet_readiness