Proposal

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Canadian Autonomous Systems and Drone Sovereignty Initiative

AI TrackEnactedDefencecontinuum-epoch-952026-03-09
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
nato_target_gap
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 95)

Domain: defence

Effects: 2 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 1

Divergence score: 0.15

Constitutional basis: Federal military/defence power (s. 91(7)); trade and commerce (s. 91(2)); Crown corporation authority

Fiscal cost estimate: 0.85

Details

Epoch: 95

Domain: defence

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.85B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$35.43B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$23.10B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via innovation_index
  • +$6.51B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via innovation_index
  • +$2.94B → education_spending (Education Spending) via innovation_index
  • +$0.89B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via innovation_index

Causal effects: 2 downstream (1 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.150

Variable changes

  • nato_target_gap: {"new": 113.3, "old": 114.15}
  • defence_spending: {"new": 45.85, "old": 45.0}
  • defence_export_revenue: {"new": 6.0, "old": 2.8}
  • domestic_drone_platform_count: {"new": 3.0, "old": 0.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets nato_target_gap.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:nato_target_gap
  • RIPPLE:defence_spending
  • RIPPLE:defence_export_revenue
  • RIPPLE:domestic_drone_platform_count