Proposal

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Canadian Sovereign Procurement Standard

AI TrackEnactedDefencecontinuum-epoch-952026-03-09
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
defence_ubo_canadian_share
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 95)

Domain: defence

Effects: 2 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 0.2

Constitutional basis: Federal procurement authority (s. 91); CUSMA Article 13.3(c) national security exception; Investment Canada Act alignment

Fiscal cost estimate: 0.05

Details

Epoch: 95

Domain: defence

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.05B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$5.38B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$2.43B → defence_spending (Defence Spending) via arctic_icebreaker_readiness
  • +$1.23B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via trade_balance
  • +$1.18B → defence_capital_spending (Defence Capital Spending) via defence_capital_outflow_foreign
  • +$0.35B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via trade_balance

Causal effects: 2 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.200

Variable changes

  • defence_ubo_canadian_share: {"new": 67.0, "old": 35.0}
  • defence_capital_outflow_foreign: {"new": 4.9, "old": 7.8}
  • defence_profit_repatriation_foreign: {"new": 1.4, "old": 5.2}

Proposed policy move

Targets defence_ubo_canadian_share.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:defence_ubo_canadian_share
  • RIPPLE:defence_capital_outflow_foreign
  • RIPPLE:defence_profit_repatriation_foreign