Proposal
Arctic Transit Authority
Rationale
Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 100)
Domain: infrastructure
Effects: 3 downstream variables affected
Immediate effects: 1
Divergence score: 0.22
Constitutional basis: Federal navigation and shipping (s. 91(10)); territorial sovereignty (UNCLOS Article 234 ice-covered waters); Crown prerogative over internal waters
Fiscal cost estimate: 1.4
Details
Epoch: 100
Domain: infrastructure
Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $1.40B CAD
Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$17.01B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)
Top RIPPLE cost paths
- +$15.21B →
defence_spending(Defence Spending) viaarctic_icebreaker_readiness - +$1.96B →
defence_operating_spending(Defence Operating Spending) viadefence_spending - −$1.12B →
healthcare_spending(Healthcare Spending) viadefence_spending - +$0.81B →
budgetary_balance(Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) viadefence_spending
Causal effects: 3 downstream (1 immediate)
Divergence after: 0.220
Variable changes
arctic_transit_revenue: {"new": 0.6, "old": 0.0}arctic_icebreaker_readiness: {"new": 76.0, "old": 38.0}arctic_port_infrastructure_index: {"new": 50.0, "old": 15.0}
Proposed policy move
Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.
Data sources
- RIPPLE:arctic_transit_revenue
- RIPPLE:arctic_icebreaker_readiness
- RIPPLE:arctic_port_infrastructure_index