Proposal

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Canadian Water Sovereignty Act

AI TrackEnactedEnvironmentcontinuum-epoch-1002026-03-09
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
water_export_licensing_revenue
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 100)

Domain: environment

Effects: 2 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 1

Divergence score: 0.1

Constitutional basis: Federal trade and commerce (s. 91(2)); Crown prerogative over natural resources; treaty power (s. 132); 1909 Boundary Waters Treaty

Fiscal cost estimate: 0.18

Details

Epoch: 100

Domain: environment

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.18B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$3.66B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$4.06B → defence_spending (Defence Spending) via federal_revenues
  • −$0.39B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via federal_revenues

Causal effects: 2 downstream (1 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.100

Variable changes

  • water_export_licensing_revenue: {"new": 0.5, "old": 0.0}
  • freshwater_strategic_reserve_index: {"new": 90.0, "old": 78.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets water_export_licensing_revenue.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:water_export_licensing_revenue
  • RIPPLE:freshwater_strategic_reserve_index