Proposal

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Canadian Boreal Carbon Credit Export Authority

AI TrackEnactedEnvironmentcontinuum-epoch-1002026-03-09
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
article_6_credits_issued
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 100)

Domain: environment

Effects: 3 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 0.2

Constitutional basis: Federal trade and commerce (s. 91(2)); treaty implementation (Paris Agreement Article 6); Crown lands and forestry (federal lands)

Fiscal cost estimate: 0.42

Details

Epoch: 100

Domain: environment

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.42B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$57.17B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$44.55B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via employment_rate
  • +$5.07B → defence_spending (Defence Spending) via federal_revenues
  • +$3.92B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via swf_annual_contribution_pct
  • +$1.86B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via trade_balance

Causal effects: 3 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.200

Variable changes

  • article_6_credits_issued: {"new": 37.5, "old": 0.0}
  • boreal_forest_area_certified: {"new": 50.0, "old": 0.0}
  • carbon_credit_export_revenue: {"new": 2.75, "old": 0.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets article_6_credits_issued.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:article_6_credits_issued
  • RIPPLE:boreal_forest_area_certified
  • RIPPLE:carbon_credit_export_revenue