Proposal

← AI Proposals

🤖

Canadian Sovereign Trades Immigration Pipeline

AI TrackEnactedImmigrationcontinuum-epoch-1002026-03-09
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
trades_workforce_deficit
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 100)

Domain: immigration

Effects: 4 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 2

Divergence score: 0.18

Constitutional basis: Federal immigration and naturalization (s. 91(25)); employment insurance (s. 91(2A)); cooperative federalism with provincial apprenticeship bodies

Fiscal cost estimate: 0.68

Details

Epoch: 100

Domain: immigration

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.68B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$7.93B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$6.19B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via housing_starts
  • +$1.74B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via housing_starts

Causal effects: 4 downstream (2 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.180

Variable changes

  • trades_workforce_deficit: {"new": 250.0, "old": 400.0}
  • apprenticeship_absorption_rate: {"new": 85.0, "old": 23.0}
  • trades_immigration_intake_annual: {"new": 50.0, "old": 12.0}
  • construction_labour_bottleneck_index: {"new": 55.0, "old": 78.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets trades_workforce_deficit.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:trades_workforce_deficit
  • RIPPLE:apprenticeship_absorption_rate
  • RIPPLE:trades_immigration_intake_annual
  • RIPPLE:construction_labour_bottleneck_index