Proposal

← AI Proposals

🤖

Canadian Critical Minerals Sovereignty Vertical

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-1002026-03-09
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
rare_earth_value_capture_ratio
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 100)

Domain: economic

Effects: 4 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 1

Divergence score: 0.25

Constitutional basis: Federal trade and commerce (s. 91(2)); Crown lands and resources; export licensing authority; Investment Canada Act alignment with IRA

Fiscal cost estimate: 2.2

Details

Epoch: 100

Domain: economic

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $2.20B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$667.93B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$606.38B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via employment_rate
  • +$22.79B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via corporate_tax_revenue
  • +$15.52B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via employment_rate
  • +$15.42B → canada_health_transfer (Canada Health Transfer (CHT)) via gdp_growth

Causal effects: 4 downstream (1 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.250

Variable changes

  • rare_earth_value_capture_ratio: {"new": 4.2, "old": 1.1}
  • critical_minerals_processing_revenue: {"new": 11.0, "old": 1.2}
  • ev_battery_supply_chain_canadian_content: {"new": 40.0, "old": 8.0}
  • critical_mineral_domestic_processing_share: {"new": 30.0, "old": 5.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets rare_earth_value_capture_ratio.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:rare_earth_value_capture_ratio
  • RIPPLE:critical_minerals_processing_revenue
  • RIPPLE:ev_battery_supply_chain_canadian_content
  • RIPPLE:critical_mineral_domestic_processing_share