Proposal

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Supply Management Reform and New Entrant Protection

AI TrackEnactedAgriculturecontinuum-epoch-1062026-03-10
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
farm_consolidation_rate
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 106)

Domain: agriculture

Effects: 0 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Fiscal cost estimate: 0.38

Details

Epoch: 106

Domain: agriculture

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.38B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$0.25B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$0.25B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via gdp_prairies

Variable changes

  • farm_consolidation_rate: {"new": 1.1, "old": 2.3}
  • new_entrant_farmer_rate: {"new": 3.8, "old": 1.2}
  • quota_entry_cost_barrier: {"new": 0.41, "old": 0.84}
  • small_farm_viability_index: {"new": 0.54, "old": 0.38}
  • rural_community_economic_viability: {"new": 0.56, "old": 0.44}

Proposed policy move

Targets farm_consolidation_rate.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:farm_consolidation_rate
  • RIPPLE:new_entrant_farmer_rate
  • RIPPLE:quota_entry_cost_barrier
  • RIPPLE:small_farm_viability_index
  • RIPPLE:rural_community_economic_viability