Proposal

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Interest Rate Hike Scenario [cdkp:8cd73832]

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-1142026-03-29
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
interest_rate
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 114)

Domain: monetary_policy

Effects: 0 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Details

Epoch: 114

Domain: monetary_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $38.26B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$823.81B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$858.00B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via interest_rate
  • +$18.60B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via interest_rate
  • +$7.18B → transfers_to_persons (Major Transfers to Persons) via unemployment_rate
  • +$7.02B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via federal_fiscal_framework

Variable changes

  • interest_rate: {"new": 4.5, "old": 0.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets interest_rate.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:interest_rate