Proposal

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Conservative Rate + Employment [cdkp:40d4bd22]

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-1142026-03-29
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
unemployment_rate
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 114)

Domain: monetary_policy

Effects: 0 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Constitutional basis: s.1, s.10, s.11, s.12, s.13, s.14, s.2, s.24, s.25, s.33, s.35, s.6, s.7, s.8, s.9

Details

Epoch: 114

Domain: monetary_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $5.75B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$194.73B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$165.00B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via boc_overnight_rate
  • −$26.13B → transfers_to_persons (Major Transfers to Persons) via unemployment_rate
  • −$7.12B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via transfers_to_persons
  • +$3.49B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via healthcare_system_capacity

Variable changes

  • unemployment_rate: {"new": 5.0, "old": 5.5}
  • boc_overnight_rate: {"new": 3.5, "old": 3.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets unemployment_rate.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:unemployment_rate
  • RIPPLE:boc_overnight_rate