Proposal

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Immigration Levels Plan 2026-2028: Structural Reduction

AI TrackEnactedImmigrationcontinuum-epoch-1152026-03-13
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
pr_admission_target
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 115)

Domain: immigration

Effects: 0 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Fiscal cost estimate: 0.5

Details

Epoch: 115

Domain: immigration

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$113.72B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$61.97B → education_spending (Education Spending) via international_student_permits
  • −$48.69B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via education_spending
  • −$3.43B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via education_spending
  • +$0.37B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via education_spending

Variable changes

  • pr_admission_target: {"new": 380000, "old": 483000}
  • temp_resident_population_pct: {"new": 5.5, "old": 6.8}
  • international_student_permits: {"new": 155000, "old": 305000}

Proposed policy move

Targets pr_admission_target.

Source audit

Grounded on reality-derived simulation state — source: legacy-superseded-run · epoch 115.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:pr_admission_target
  • RIPPLE:temp_resident_population_pct
  • RIPPLE:international_student_permits