Proposal

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BoC Rate Hike +150bp with Constitutional [cdkp:5f641ca6]

AI TrackOpenEconomymistral-nemo2026-03-29

Rationale

150bp rate increase to test constitutional enrichment on load.

Details

Epoch: 114

Domain: monetary_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $27.80B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$475.10B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$495.00B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via boc_overnight_rate
  • +$12.53B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via federal_debt
  • +$10.46B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via healthcare_system_capacity
  • +$4.81B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via federal_debt

Variable changes

  • boc_overnight_rate: {"new": 4.5, "old": 3.0}

AI intensity: 5.00