Increased federal housing investment through bilateral provincial transfers with density and zoning conditions. Models the supply-side effects on housing starts and affordability.

Epoch: 114

Domain: housing

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $30.96B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$5.16B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths

• +$30.00B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via unemployment_rate
• −$26.13B → transfers_to_persons (Major Transfers to Persons) via unemployment_rate
• −$7.12B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via transfers_to_persons
• −$2.66B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via healthcare_system_capacity

Variable changes

• unemployment_rate: {"new": 5.0, "old": 5.5}