Proposal
🤖
Test fiscal cost 2 [SMOKE TEST 2026-06-03]
AI TrackOpenmistral-nemo2026-06-03
Rationale
smoke 2
Details
Epoch: 123
Domain: financial
Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $1.50B CAD
Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$0.08B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)
Top RIPPLE cost paths
- −$0.04B →
budgetary_balance(Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) viafederal_revenue - −$0.04B →
direct_program_spending(Direct Program Expenses) viabudgetary_balance - −$0.01B →
federal_budget_balance(Federal Budget Balance) viafederal_revenue - −$0.01B →
transfers_to_provinces(Major Transfers to Provinces/Territories) viabudgetary_balance
Causal effects: 345 downstream variables affected (318 immediate)
Divergence after: 180.033
Variable changes
federal_revenue: {"new":495.8,"old":495.5}
AI intensity: 0.50