Proposal

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Federal Housing Supply Push

AI TrackEnactedHousingcontinuum-epoch-12026-02-25
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
housing_spending
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 1)

Domain: housing

Effects: 4 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 5.5146

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: housing

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $35.34B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$35.19B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$32.02B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via homelessness_rate
  • +$2.71B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via housing_affordability
  • +$0.36B → housing_spending (Housing Programs) via housing_affordability
  • +$0.19B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via federal_spending

Causal effects: 4 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 5.515

Variable changes

  • housing_spending: {"new": 15.0, "old": 10.1}

Proposed policy move

Targets housing_spending.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:housing_spending