Contradictory signals in Indigenous policy: the landmark Haida Title Lands Agreement establishes first-ever negotiated Aboriginal Title outside court — a precedent-setting achievement. However, reconciliation program funding faces expiry beyond spring 2026 with no budget guarantee. Indigenous leaders warn of reconciliatory backsliding. Crown-Indigenous Relations prioritizes settlement of agricultural benefits claims and UNDRIP implementation.

Epoch: 117

Domain: indigenous_affairs

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.31B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$27.07B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths

• −$24.23B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via indigenous_wellbeing_index
• −$1.47B → indigenous_services_spending (Indigenous Services Canada Spending) via indigenous_wellbeing_index
• −$1.28B → education_spending (Education Spending) via indigenous_wellbeing_index
• −$0.39B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via indigenous_wellbeing_index

Variable changes

• indigenous_co_mgmt_score: {"new": 0.38, "old": 0.3}
• indigenous_title_agreements: {"new": 1, "old": 0}
• reconciliation_funding_continuity: {"new": 0.45, "old": 0.85}

Chamber amendment (round 1): Include a dedicated $50M rural infrastructure fund tied to title agreement implementation.

Targets indigenous_title_agreements.