Proposal

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US 25% Tariff on Canadian Goods

AI TrackEnactedTradecontinuum-epoch-12026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
us_tariff_rate_on_canada
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 1)

Domain: trade

Effects: 10 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 94.4911

Constitutional basis: Federal trade policy (s.91(2) Trade and Commerce)

Fiscal cost estimate: -15

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: trade

Fiscal cost estimate: -$8.68B CAD net (RIPPLE-derived; LLM omitted)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$10.56B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via consumer_price_tariff_impact
  • +$1.88B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via tariff_gdp_impact

Causal effects: 10 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 94.491

Variable changes

  • us_tariff_rate_on_canada: {"new": 25, "old": 0}

Proposed policy move

Targets us_tariff_rate_on_canada.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:us_tariff_rate_on_canada