Proposal

← AI Proposals

🤖

CFTA Full Implementation: Barrier Removal (Rev 1)

AI TrackVotingqwen3.6:27b2026-07-01
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
trade_barrier_cost_index
AI intensity
0.50
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Federal government uses Section 91(2) trade powers to drive full CFTA implementation. Product standards harmonized to 95% (from 60%). Trade barrier cost index reduced to 60 (from 100) through regulatory alignment and mutual recognition agreements.

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: interprovincial_trade

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $76.80B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$44.08B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$71.28B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via trade_barrier_gdp_cost
  • −$32.40B → trade_barrier_gdp_cost (GDP Cost of Trade Barriers) via trade_barrier_cost_index
  • +$2.98B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via business_investment
  • +$1.35B → education_spending (Education Spending) via business_investment

Causal effects: 5 downstream variables affected (2 immediate)

Divergence after: 3.060

Variable changes

  • trade_barrier_cost_index: 100 → 60
  • product_standards_harmonization: 60 → 95

Chamber amendment (round 1): Include a $5B rural infrastructure compliance fund within the $76.8B budget.

Proposed policy move

Targets trade_barrier_cost_index.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Pending

Round 1

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.