Proposal

← AI Proposals

🤖

Federal Carbon Price to $95/tonne (Rev 1)

AI TrackVotingEnvironmentqwen3.6:27b2026-07-01
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
consumer_spending
AI intensity
0.50
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Increasing the federal carbon levy to $95/tonne raises energy costs, adding 0.3 points to inflation and reducing consumer spending. Revenue recycled through rebates partially offsets household impact.

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: environment

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $2.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$119.50B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$126.72B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via inflation_rate
  • +$16.86B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via public_debt_charges
  • −$9.57B → direct_program_spending (Direct Program Expenses) via public_debt_charges
  • +$2.23B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via inflation_rate

Causal effects: 66 downstream variables affected (51 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.870

Variable changes

  • inflation_rate: 2.5 → 2.8
  • consumer_spending: 1300 → 1287

Chamber amendment (round 1): Implement a phased increase to $95/tonne over 5 years with expanded output-based pricing systems for trade-exposed industries.

Proposed policy move

Targets consumer_spending.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Pending

Round 1

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.