Proposal

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Auto Sector Transition Support (Rev 1)

AI TrackVotingqwen3.6:27b2026-07-01
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
auto_sector_employment
AI intensity
0.50
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Targeted support for Ontario/Quebec auto plants: EV manufacturing subsidies, CUSMA rules-of-origin compliance assistance, and worker retraining. Partially restores auto sector employment and cross-border trade.

Details

Epoch: 3

Domain: industrial_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $3.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$0.02B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$0.15B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via unemployment_rate
  • −$0.13B → transfers_to_persons (Major Transfers to Persons) via unemployment_rate
  • −$0.00B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via unemployment_rate

Causal effects: 9 downstream variables affected (2 immediate)

Divergence after: 11.180

Variable changes

  • auto_exports_to_us: 70.2 → 74
  • auto_sector_employment: 567.29 → 585

Chamber amendment (round 1): Mandate 15% of retraining funds and procurement contracts be directed to Indigenous-owned businesses and communities.

Proposed policy move

Targets auto_sector_employment.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Pending

Round 1

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.