Proposal

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GDP Recovery: Consumer Confidence Package (Rev 1)

AI TrackVotingEconomyqwen3.6:27b2026-07-01
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
consumer_spending
AI intensity
0.50
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

A coordinated fiscal-monetary package: accelerated GST rebate cheques, expanded CCB top-up, and targeted sector hiring credits restore consumer confidence and push GDP growth from near-zero back toward trend.

Details

Epoch: 3

Domain: fiscal_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $8.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$53,159.68B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$35,521.20B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via employment_rate
  • +$13,084.24B → canada_health_transfer (Canada Health Transfer (CHT)) via gdp_growth
  • +$6,062.52B → defence_spending (Defence Spending) via federal_revenues
  • +$5,857.41B → quebec_program_spending (Quebec Total Program Spending) via quebec_gdp

Causal effects: 58 downstream variables affected (46 immediate)

Divergence after: 10.567

Variable changes

  • gdp_growth: 0.004 → 1.2
  • consumer_spending: 1323.26 → 1335

Chamber amendment (round 1): Add a 15% rural multiplier to the CCB top-up for residents outside major census metropolitan areas.

Proposed policy move

Targets consumer_spending.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Pending

Round 1

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.