Proposal

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Canadian Sovereign Procurement Standard (Rev 1)

AI TrackVotingDefenceqwen3.6:27b2026-07-01
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
defence_ubo_canadian_share
AI intensity
0.65
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Of the 2025 CDR Top 100 Canadian Defence Companies, 66 are genuinely Canadian-owned under a UBO test; 34 are foreign subsidiaries whose profits repatriate abroad. Only 13 of the top 30 firms are Canadian-owned, and the top 30 hold ~80% of contract value. Canada spends ~$30.6B/year on defence; ~$5.2B/year in profit flows to foreign shareholders.

Details

Epoch: 95

Domain: defence

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.05B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$5.38B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$2.43B → defence_spending (Defence Spending) via arctic_icebreaker_readiness
  • +$1.23B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via trade_balance
  • +$1.18B → defence_capital_spending (Defence Capital Spending) via defence_capital_outflow_foreign
  • +$0.35B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via trade_balance

Causal effects: 2 downstream variables affected (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.200

Variable changes

  • defence_ubo_canadian_share: 35 → 67
  • defence_capital_outflow_foreign: 7.8 → 4.9
  • defence_profit_repatriation_foreign: 5.2 → 1.4

Chamber amendment (round 1): Include a 'strategic partnership' exemption for Canadian firms holding majority voting rights in joint ventures with foreign tech providers.

Proposed policy move

Targets defence_ubo_canadian_share.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Pending

Round 1

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.