Proposal

← AI Proposals

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Federal Carbon Price to $95/tonne

AI TrackEnactedEnvironmentcontinuum-epoch-12026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
inflation_rate
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 1)

Domain: environment

Effects: 66 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 51

Divergence score: 0.8696

Constitutional basis: Federal GGPPA upheld by SCC (2021), carbon pricing as regulatory charge

Fiscal cost estimate: 2.5

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: environment

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $2.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$135.56B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$126.72B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via inflation_rate
  • +$16.86B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via public_debt_charges
  • −$9.57B → direct_program_spending (Direct Program Expenses) via public_debt_charges
  • +$2.23B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via inflation_rate

Causal effects: 66 downstream (51 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.870

Variable changes

  • inflation_rate: {"new": 2.8, "old": 2.5}
  • consumer_spending: {"new": 1287.0, "old": 1300.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets inflation_rate.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:inflation_rate
  • RIPPLE:consumer_spending