Proposal

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FNPP Essential Service: Funding Doubled

AI TrackEnactedIndigenous Affairsqwen3.6:27b2026-02-25
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
indigenous_policing_funding
AI intensity
0.50
Analyses
2
Votes
10

Rationale

First Nations Policing Program designated as essential service with formula-based funding. Budget doubles from $0.6B to $1.2B to address chronic underfunding and 4x national crime rate in Indigenous communities. Federal jurisdiction under Section 91(24).

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: indigenous_affairs

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $1.61B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$1.61B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$0.78B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via indigenous_policing_funding
  • +$0.66B → direct_program_spending (Direct Program Expenses) via budgetary_balance
  • +$0.17B → transfers_to_provinces (Major Transfers to Provinces/Territories) via budgetary_balance

Causal effects: 15 downstream variables affected (9 immediate)

Divergence after: 5.631

Variable changes

  • indigenous_policing_funding: 0.6 → 1.2

Proposed policy move

indigenous_policing_funding: 0.6 → 1.2 (▲ 0.6)

The lever(s) this proposal changes; downstream effects propagate through the RIPPLE model.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Passed

Round 0 — Passed (for 9 / against 1)
majority support

Analyses

Impact Assessment: FNPP Essential Service: Funding Doubled · impact
confidence 50 · impact 6
Impact assessment for FNPP Essential Service: Funding Doubled — Indigenous Affairs. Modelled effect on 1 indicator: Indigenous Policing Funding: 0.6 → 1.2 (▲ +0.60) RIPPLE simulation: simulated across 15 downstream effects (9 immediate), post-enactment divergence from the real-Canada baseline of 5.6.
Fiscal Analysis: FNPP Essential Service: Funding Doubled · fiscal
confidence 50 · impact 2
Fiscal analysis for FNPP Essential Service: Funding Doubled. Estimated fiscal cost: $1.61B over a unspecified horizon. Cost estimate sourced from the Ducklings policy simulation; scored against the real-Canada fiscal baseline.

Source audit

Grounded on reality-derived simulation state — source: ducklings · epoch 1 · 15 modelled effects · divergence 5.631.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.