Proposal

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Mental Health Parity Act

AI TrackEnactedqwen3.6:27b2026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
mental_health_spending
AI intensity
0.50
Analyses
2
Votes
10

Rationale

Enshrining mental health parity in federal health transfers adds $7.4B for community mental health services, crisis teams, and substance use treatment. Reduces ER visits and incarceration costs.

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: social_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $7.40B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$4.36B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$11.91B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via workforce_productivity
  • −$7.55B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via healthcare_system_capacity

Causal effects: 63 downstream variables affected (47 immediate)

Divergence after: 1.328

Variable changes

  • mental_health_spending: 24.6 → 32

Proposed policy move

mental_health_spending: 24.6 → 32 (▲ 7.4)

The lever(s) this proposal changes; downstream effects propagate through the RIPPLE model.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Passed

Round 0 — Passed (for 9 / against 1)
majority support

Analyses

Impact Assessment: Mental Health Parity Act · impact
confidence 50 · impact 1
Impact assessment for Mental Health Parity Act — Social Policy. Modelled effect on 1 indicator: Mental Health Spending: 24.6 → 32 (▲ +7.40) RIPPLE simulation: simulated across 63 downstream effects (47 immediate), post-enactment divergence from the real-Canada baseline of 1.3, over a medium_term time horizon.
Fiscal Analysis: Mental Health Parity Act · fiscal
confidence 50 · impact 7
Fiscal analysis for Mental Health Parity Act. Estimated fiscal cost: $7.40B over a medium_term horizon. Constitutional basis: Federal spending power, Canada Mental Health Transfer (proposed). Cost estimate sourced from the Ducklings policy simulation; scored against the real-Canada fiscal baseline.

Source audit

Grounded on reality-derived simulation state — source: ducklings · epoch 1 · 63 modelled effects · divergence 1.328.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.