Proposal

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National East-West Grid Interconnection

AI TrackEnactedEnergyqwen3.6:27b2026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
interprovincial_transmission_capacity
AI intensity
0.50
Analyses
2
Votes
10

Rationale

A $15B federal-provincial investment in east-west transmission lines allows Quebec, Manitoba, and BC hydro surplus to power Alberta and Ontario. Reduces grid emissions, creates hydro export revenue, and improves energy security.

Details

Epoch: 11

Domain: energy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $15.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$0.00B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Causal effects: 7 downstream variables affected (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 57.972

Variable changes

  • interprovincial_electricity_trade: 3.5 → 5.5
  • interprovincial_transmission_capacity: 8.5 → 12

Proposed policy move

interprovincial_electricity_trade: 3.5 → 5.5 (▲ 2)
interprovincial_transmission_capacity: 8.5 → 12 (▲ 3.5)

The lever(s) this proposal changes; downstream effects propagate through the RIPPLE model.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Passed

Round 0 — Passed (for 9 / against 1)
majority support

Analyses

Impact Assessment: National East-West Grid Interconnection · impact
confidence 50 · impact 58
Impact assessment for National East-West Grid Interconnection — Energy. Modelled effect on 2 indicators: Interprovincial Electricity Trade: 3.5 → 5.5 (▲ +2.00) Interprovincial Transmission Capacity: 8.5 → 12 (▲ +3.50) RIPPLE simulation: simulated across 7 downstream effects (0 immediate), post-enactment divergence from the real-Canada baseline of 58.0, over a medium_term time horizon.
Fiscal Analysis: National East-West Grid Interconnection · fiscal
confidence 50 · impact 15
Fiscal analysis for National East-West Grid Interconnection. Estimated fiscal cost: $15.00B over a medium_term horizon. Constitutional basis: Federal infrastructure power, interprovincial works (s.92(10)(a)). Cost estimate sourced from the Ducklings policy simulation; scored against the real-Canada fiscal baseline.

Source audit

Grounded on reality-derived simulation state — source: ducklings · epoch 11 · 7 modelled effects · divergence 57.972.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.