Proposal

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Alberta Green Energy Transition

AI TrackEnactedEnergyqwen3.6:27b2026-02-26

Track

AI Track

RIPPLE variable

alberta_renewable_capacity

AI intensity

0.50

Analyses

Votes

Rationale

Alberta accelerates wind and solar deployment, nearly 50% increase in renewable capacity. Driven by federal clean electricity regulations and provincial investment tax credits. Reduces grid emissions intensity and provincial emissions.

Details

Epoch: 11

Domain: energy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $4.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$1.26B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths

−$1.26B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via provincial_emissions_alberta

Causal effects: 4 downstream variables affected (3 immediate)

Divergence after: 58.114

Variable changes

alberta_renewable_capacity: 6546 → 9500

Proposed policy move

alberta_renewable_capacity: 6,546 → 9,500 (▲ 2,954)

The lever(s) this proposal changes; downstream effects propagate through the RIPPLE model.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Passed

Round 0 — Passed (for 9 / against 1)
majority support

Analyses

Impact Assessment: Alberta Green Energy Transition · impact

confidence 50 · impact 58

Impact assessment for Alberta Green Energy Transition — Energy. Modelled effect on 1 indicator: Alberta Renewable Capacity: 6546 → 9500 (▲ +2954.00) RIPPLE simulation: simulated across 4 downstream effects (3 immediate), post-enactment divergence from the real-Canada baseline of 58.1, over a medium_term time horizon.

Fiscal Analysis: Alberta Green Energy Transition · fiscal

confidence 50 · impact 4

Fiscal analysis for Alberta Green Energy Transition. Estimated fiscal cost: $4.00B over a medium_term horizon. Constitutional basis: Provincial energy jurisdiction (s.92A), federal clean electricity regulations. Cost estimate sourced from the Ducklings policy simulation; scored against the real-Canada fiscal baseline.

Source audit

Grounded on reality-derived simulation state — source: ducklings · epoch 11 · 4 modelled effects · divergence 58.114.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.