Proposal

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Mental Health Workforce Expansion

AI TrackEnactedHealthcareqwen3.6:27b2026-02-26

Track

AI Track

RIPPLE variable

mental_health_workforce

AI intensity

0.50

Analyses

Votes

Rationale

Targeted recruitment of psychologists, social workers, and addiction counsellors. The richest untouched 4-edge lever: mental_health_workforce -> disability_claims (-0.3) + mental_health_prevalence (-0.05) + productivity_loss (-0.35) + suicide_rate (-0.2, d8). Four simultaneous downstream effects.

Details

Epoch: 27

Domain: healthcare

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $3.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$0.08B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths

−$0.08B → social_services_spending (Social Services Spending) via disability_claims_rate

Causal effects: 58 downstream variables affected (46 immediate)

Divergence after: 61.179

Variable changes

mental_health_workforce: 86.02 → 105

Proposed policy move

mental_health_workforce: 86.02 → 105 (▲ 18.98)

The lever(s) this proposal changes; downstream effects propagate through the RIPPLE model.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Amended

Round 0 — Amended (for 8 / against 1)
approved with amendments

Analyses

Impact Assessment: Mental Health Workforce Expansion · impact

confidence 50 · impact 61

Impact assessment for Mental Health Workforce Expansion — Healthcare. Modelled effect on 1 indicator: Mental Health Workforce: 86.02 → 105 (▲ +18.98) RIPPLE simulation: simulated across 58 downstream effects (46 immediate), post-enactment divergence from the real-Canada baseline of 61.2, over a medium_term time horizon.

Fiscal Analysis: Mental Health Workforce Expansion · fiscal

confidence 50 · impact 3

Fiscal analysis for Mental Health Workforce Expansion. Estimated fiscal cost: $3.00B over a medium_term horizon. Constitutional basis: Provincial healthcare, federal mental health transfer. Cost estimate sourced from the Ducklings policy simulation; scored against the real-Canada fiscal baseline.

Source audit

Grounded on reality-derived simulation state — source: ducklings · epoch 27 · 58 modelled effects · divergence 61.179.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.