Proposal

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Mental Health Parity Act

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-12026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
mental_health_spending
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 1)

Domain: social_policy

Effects: 63 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 47

Divergence score: 1.3282

Constitutional basis: Federal spending power, Canada Mental Health Transfer (proposed)

Fiscal cost estimate: 7.4

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: social_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $7.40B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$4.36B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$11.91B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via workforce_productivity
  • −$7.55B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via healthcare_system_capacity

Causal effects: 63 downstream (47 immediate)

Divergence after: 1.328

Variable changes

  • mental_health_spending: {"new": 32.0, "old": 24.6}

Proposed policy move

Targets mental_health_spending.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:mental_health_spending