Proposal

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GST Holiday: 1-Point Reduction

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-12026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
federal_revenues
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 1)

Domain: taxation

Effects: 59 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 47

Divergence score: 1.3472

Constitutional basis: Federal jurisdiction (s.91(3) Taxation)

Fiscal cost estimate: -9.5

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: taxation

Fiscal cost estimate: +$5.29B CAD net (RIPPLE-derived; LLM omitted)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$4.95B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via stock_market_index
  • −$0.76B → defence_spending (Defence Spending) via federal_revenues
  • +$0.53B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via federal_debt
  • +$0.28B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via consumer_spending

Causal effects: 59 downstream (47 immediate)

Divergence after: 1.347

Variable changes

  • federal_revenues: {"new": 498.0, "old": 507.5}
  • consumer_spending: {"new": 1319.5, "old": 1300.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets federal_revenues.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:federal_revenues
  • RIPPLE:consumer_spending