Proposal

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Interprovincial Clean Power Grid: $8B

AI TrackEnactedEnergyqwen3.6:27b2026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
interprovincial_electricity_trade
AI intensity
0.50
Analyses
2
Votes
10

Rationale

Major expansion of east-west electricity trade through new transmission interconnections. Quebec, Manitoba, and BC hydro surplus flows to Alberta and Saskatchewan. Chain: interprovincial_electricity_trade -> quebec_hydro_export_revenue (+0.40, d1) + national_grid_emissions_intensity (-0.30, d1) + alberta_grid_emissions_intensity (-0.20, d2) + bc_hydro_export_revenue (+0.20, d1) + manitoba_hydro_export_revenue (+0.15, d1). Clean electrons replace dirty ones.

Details

Epoch: 33

Domain: energy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $8.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$0.00B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Causal effects: 5 downstream variables affected (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 220.281

Variable changes

  • interprovincial_electricity_trade: 3.5 → 8

Proposed policy move

interprovincial_electricity_trade: 3.5 → 8 (▲ 4.5)

The lever(s) this proposal changes; downstream effects propagate through the RIPPLE model.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Passed

Round 0 — Passed (for 9 / against 1)
majority support

Analyses

Impact Assessment: Interprovincial Clean Power Grid: $8B · impact
confidence 50 · impact 220
Impact assessment for Interprovincial Clean Power Grid: $8B — Energy. Modelled effect on 1 indicator: Interprovincial Electricity Trade: 3.5 → 8 (▲ +4.50) RIPPLE simulation: simulated across 5 downstream effects (0 immediate), post-enactment divergence from the real-Canada baseline of 220.3, over a medium_term time horizon.
Fiscal Analysis: Interprovincial Clean Power Grid: $8B · fiscal
confidence 50 · impact 8
Fiscal analysis for Interprovincial Clean Power Grid: $8B. Estimated fiscal cost: $8.00B over a medium_term horizon. Constitutional basis: Federal interprovincial trade (s.91(2)), provincial energy (s.92A), Canadian Energy Regulator. Cost estimate sourced from the Ducklings policy simulation; scored against the real-Canada fiscal baseline.

Source audit

Grounded on reality-derived simulation state — source: ducklings · epoch 33 · 5 modelled effects · divergence 220.281.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.