Proposal

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Territorial Formula Boost: $7B

AI TrackEnactedqwen3.6:27b2026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
territorial_formula_financing
AI intensity
0.50
Analyses
2
Votes
10

Rationale

Territorial Formula Financing increases by $1.5B to account for northern cost premiums and climate adaptation. Chain: territorial_formula_financing -> nunavut_gdp (+0.35, immediate) + nwt_gdp (+0.30, immediate) + yukon_gdp (+0.25, immediate). One federal transfer, three territorial economies lifted simultaneously.

Details

Epoch: 39

Domain: fiscal_federalism

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $1.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$0.00B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Causal effects: 10 downstream variables affected (10 immediate)

Divergence after: 301.144

Variable changes

  • territorial_formula_financing: 5.5 → 7

Proposed policy move

territorial_formula_financing: 5.5 → 7 (▲ 1.5)

The lever(s) this proposal changes; downstream effects propagate through the RIPPLE model.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Passed

Round 0 — Passed (for 8 / against 1)
majority support

Analyses

Impact Assessment: Territorial Formula Boost: $7B · impact
confidence 50 · impact 301
Impact assessment for Territorial Formula Boost: $7B — Fiscal Federalism. Modelled effect on 1 indicator: Territorial Formula Financing: 5.5 → 7 (▲ +1.50) RIPPLE simulation: simulated across 10 downstream effects (10 immediate), post-enactment divergence from the real-Canada baseline of 301.1, over a immediate time horizon.
Fiscal Analysis: Territorial Formula Boost: $7B · fiscal
confidence 50 · impact 2
Fiscal analysis for Territorial Formula Boost: $7B. Estimated fiscal cost: $1.50B over a immediate horizon. Constitutional basis: Federal Territorial Formula Financing, Territorial Funding Formula Review. Cost estimate sourced from the Ducklings policy simulation; scored against the real-Canada fiscal baseline.

Source audit

Grounded on reality-derived simulation state — source: ducklings · epoch 39 · 10 modelled effects · divergence 301.144.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.