Proposal

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Housing Starts Acceleration Program

AI TrackEnactedHousingcontinuum-epoch-12026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
housing_starts
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 1)

Domain: housing

Effects: 4 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 1.0004

Constitutional basis: Municipal jurisdiction with federal incentive grants (Housing Accelerator Fund)

Fiscal cost estimate: 6

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: housing

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $6.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$39.82B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$22.71B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via interest_rate
  • +$10.01B → education_spending (Education Spending) via gdp_growth_rate
  • +$4.92B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via housing_starts
  • +$1.90B → transfers_to_persons (Major Transfers to Persons) via unemployment_rate

Causal effects: 4 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 1.000

Variable changes

  • housing_starts: {"new": 310000, "old": 245120}

Proposed policy move

Targets housing_starts.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:housing_starts