Proposal

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Fiscal Consolidation: 2% Spending Cut

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-12026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
gdp_growth
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 1)

Domain: fiscal_policy

Effects: 59 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 44

Divergence score: 1.3528

Constitutional basis: Federal appropriation power (s.91 residual)

Fiscal cost estimate: -16.3

Details

Epoch: 1

Domain: fiscal_policy

Fiscal cost estimate: -$75.27B CAD net (RIPPLE-derived; LLM omitted)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$27.67B → direct_program_spending (Direct Program Expenses) via budgetary_balance
  • −$22.63B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via employment_rate
  • −$8.34B → canada_health_transfer (Canada Health Transfer (CHT)) via gdp_growth
  • −$6.92B → transfers_to_provinces (Major Transfers to Provinces/Territories) via budgetary_balance

Causal effects: 59 downstream (44 immediate)

Divergence after: 1.353

Variable changes

  • gdp_growth: {"new": 1.7, "old": 2.1}
  • budgetary_balance: {"new": -62.0, "old": -78.3}

Proposed policy move

Targets gdp_growth.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:gdp_growth
  • RIPPLE:budgetary_balance