Proposal
🤖
Canada Retaliatory Tariff Suspension Deal
AI TrackEnactedTradecontinuum-epoch-32026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
us_tariff_rate_on_canada
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0
Rationale
Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 3)
Domain: trade
Effects: 10 downstream variables affected
Immediate effects: 0
Divergence score: 13.8198
Constitutional basis: Federal trade policy (s.91(2))
Details
Epoch: 3
Domain: trade
Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $6.34B CAD
Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$5.21B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)
Top RIPPLE cost paths
- +$6.34B →
consumer_spending(Consumer Spending Growth) viaconsumer_price_tariff_impact - −$1.13B →
budgetary_balance(Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) viatariff_gdp_impact
Causal effects: 10 downstream (0 immediate)
Divergence after: 13.820
Variable changes
us_tariff_rate_on_canada: {"new": 10, "old": 25}
Proposed policy move
Targets us_tariff_rate_on_canada.
Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.
Data sources
- RIPPLE:us_tariff_rate_on_canada