Proposal

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Alberta Stabilization Fund Deployment

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-32026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
alberta_net_debt
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 3)

Domain: fiscal_policy

Effects: 1 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 1

Divergence score: 11.2525

Constitutional basis: Provincial fiscal autonomy (s.92), Federal fiscal stabilization program

Fiscal cost estimate: 5

Details

Epoch: 3

Domain: fiscal_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $5.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$5.69B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$7.72B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via alberta_net_debt
  • +$1.79B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via federal_budget_balance
  • +$0.24B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via federal_budget_balance

Causal effects: 1 downstream (1 immediate)

Divergence after: 11.252

Variable changes

  • alberta_net_debt: {"new": 200.0, "old": 307.77}
  • alberta_revenues: {"new": 28.0, "old": 10.67}

Proposed policy move

Targets alberta_net_debt.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:alberta_net_debt
  • RIPPLE:alberta_revenues